Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 0.022227 0.024018 0.025885 0.027979 0.030263 0.032681 0.035436
2025-10-19 0.019338 0.021914 0.024745 0.028092 0.031951 0.036270 0.041483
2025-10-26 0.017357 0.020373 0.023818 0.028058 0.033155 0.039107 0.046618
2025-11-02 0.015890 0.019187 0.023073 0.028014 0.034161 0.041596 0.051332
2025-11-09 0.014515 0.017947 0.022101 0.027531 0.034486 0.043156 0.054878
2025-11-16 0.013362 0.016869 0.021212 0.027029 0.034676 0.044468 0.058092
2025-11-23 0.012545 0.016140 0.020689 0.026919 0.035308 0.046322 0.062063
2025-11-30 0.011788 0.015430 0.020128 0.026694 0.035732 0.047876 0.065669
2025-12-07 0.011148 0.014827 0.019659 0.026542 0.036214 0.049495 0.069416
2025-12-14 0.010545 0.014234 0.019160 0.026304 0.036536 0.050876 0.072867
2025-12-21 0.010107 0.013839 0.018903 0.026374 0.037276 0.052861 0.077287
2025-12-28 0.009683 0.013436 0.018606 0.026359 0.037875 0.054650 0.081492
2026-01-04 0.009314 0.013109 0.018422 0.026527 0.038799 0.057041 0.086891
2026-01-11 0.008932 0.012745 0.018167 0.026579 0.039552 0.059224 0.092131
2026-01-18 0.008555 0.012367 0.017867 0.026538 0.040149 0.061186 0.097130
2026-01-25 0.008207 0.012012 0.017581 0.026495 0.040728 0.063134 0.102214
2026-02-01 0.007779 0.011514 0.017052 0.026040 0.040618 0.063957 0.105444
2026-02-08 0.007378 0.011039 0.016532 0.025569 0.040445 0.064651 0.108474
2026-02-15 0.007095 0.010731 0.016254 0.025466 0.040861 0.066331 0.113315
2026-02-22 0.006806 0.010399 0.015922 0.025254 0.041078 0.067674 0.117627
2026-03-01 0.006550 0.010109 0.015643 0.025111 0.041396 0.069197 0.122353
2026-03-08 0.006293 0.009805 0.015326 0.024887 0.041557 0.070445 0.126634
2026-03-15 0.006112 0.009616 0.015187 0.024952 0.042220 0.072610 0.132779